Arguments against carbon dating

Finally, it ends with the World-Spirit completely incarnated – possibly in the form of early 19th century Prussia – and everything is great forever.

Marx famously exports Hegel’s mysticism into a materialistic version where the World-Spirit operates upon class relations rather than the interconnectedness of all things, and where you don’t come out and call it the World-Spirit – but he basically keeps the system intact.

I’m not going to talk much about these because I don’t think I can change anyone’s mind here – either you agree with me (and disagree with Trump) on things like abortion, global warming, free trade, et cetera, or you don’t.

A two sentence argument in a blog post won’t change your mind either way.

If you are American, SSC endorses voting in this presidential election.

Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin calculate the chance that a single vote will determine the election (ie break a tie in a state that breaks an Electoral College tie).

So here are some reasons why I would be afraid to have Trump as president even if I agreed with him about the issues.

The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results.The Inside View is useless here; probably every voter thinks they’re better than average. But overall, my suggestion is that if you’re seriously uncertain about whether or not you think more clearly than the average voter, by that fact alone you almost certainly do. If you think (in a well-calibrated way) that it’s 10% more likely that your candidate will use

The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results.

The Inside View is useless here; probably every voter thinks they’re better than average. But overall, my suggestion is that if you’re seriously uncertain about whether or not you think more clearly than the average voter, by that fact alone you almost certainly do. If you think (in a well-calibrated way) that it’s 10% more likely that your candidate will use $1 trillion well than that the other candidate will, your vote is worth $500. If you value the amount of time it takes to vote at less than that, voting is conceivably a good use of your time. SSC endorses voting for Hillary Clinton if you live in a swing state.

I recommend the Outside View – looking for measurable indicators correlated with ability to make good choices. If you live in a safe state, I endorse voting for Clinton, Johnson, or (if you insist) Stein.

We don’t know for sure that we’re right about politics.

||

The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results.The Inside View is useless here; probably every voter thinks they’re better than average. But overall, my suggestion is that if you’re seriously uncertain about whether or not you think more clearly than the average voter, by that fact alone you almost certainly do. If you think (in a well-calibrated way) that it’s 10% more likely that your candidate will use $1 trillion well than that the other candidate will, your vote is worth $500. If you value the amount of time it takes to vote at less than that, voting is conceivably a good use of your time. SSC endorses voting for Hillary Clinton if you live in a swing state.I recommend the Outside View – looking for measurable indicators correlated with ability to make good choices. If you live in a safe state, I endorse voting for Clinton, Johnson, or (if you insist) Stein.We don’t know for sure that we’re right about politics.

trillion well than that the other candidate will, your vote is worth 0. If you value the amount of time it takes to vote at less than that, voting is conceivably a good use of your time. SSC endorses voting for Hillary Clinton if you live in a swing state.I recommend the Outside View – looking for measurable indicators correlated with ability to make good choices. If you live in a safe state, I endorse voting for Clinton, Johnson, or (if you insist) Stein.We don’t know for sure that we’re right about politics.

bathroom-blowjob

In order to add signal rather than noise to the election results, we have to be better than the average voter.Which of the candidates in this election are millennarian? The left and right both critique Hillary the same way. Nobody cares what policies he’ll implement after he does this, because his campaign is more an expression of rage at these things than anything else.

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